IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Preseason Rankings
Wake Forest
Atlantic Coast
2020-21

Overall
Predictive Rating	+4.6	#103
Expected Predictive Rating	+0.0	#1

Pace	72.4	#81
Improvement	-	-

Offense
Total Offense	+3.9	#77

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebound	-	-

Layup/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

Defense
Total Defense	+0.7	#146

First Shot	-	-
After Offensive Rebounds	-	-

Layups/Dunks	-	-
2 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
3 Pt Jumpshots	-	-
Freethrows	-	-

Improvement	-	-

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.2%	0.2%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.7%	0.7%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	1.7%	1.7%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	9.7%	9.8%	2.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	9.3%	9.3%	2.6%
Average Seed	8.9	8.9	9.8

.500 or above	31.0%	31.2%	5.9%
.500 or above in Conference	15.1%	15.2%	5.1%
Conference Champion	0.5%	0.5%	0.0%
Last Place in Conference	28.3%	28.1%	57.9%

First Four	1.6%	1.6%	1.2%
First Round	8.9%	9.0%	1.4%
Second Round	4.3%	4.3%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	1.4%	1.4%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.6%	0.6%	0.0%
Final Four	0.2%	0.2%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Delaware St. (Home) - 99.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	1 - 6	1 - 6
Quad 1b	1 - 4	2 - 9
Quad 2	3 - 4	4 - 14
Quad 3	2 - 1	6 - 15
Quad 4	5 - 0	11 - 15

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 25, 2020	346	Delaware St.	W	97-71	99%
Nov 27, 2020	320	Longwood	W	82-64	95%
Dec 02, 2020	281	Troy	W	84-70	90%
Dec 13, 2020	341	Presbyterian	W	86-63	98%
Dec 16, 2020	6	Virginia	L	57-66	22%
Dec 21, 2020	276	VMI	W	83-69	90%
Dec 29, 2020	35	Syracuse	L	75-79	37%
Jan 03, 2021	63	@ Georgia Tech	L	72-80	25%
Jan 06, 2021	6	@ Virginia	L	54-69	10%
Jan 09, 2021	5	@ Duke	L	73-88	10%
Jan 13, 2021	26	Louisville	L	72-77	32%
Jan 17, 2021	56	Virginia Tech	L	70-72	44%
Jan 19, 2021	23	@ North Carolina	L	73-85	15%
Jan 26, 2021	48	@ North Carolina St.	L	74-82	24%
Jan 30, 2021	43	Miami (FL)	L	75-78	40%
Feb 02, 2021	70	@ Notre Dame	L	74-80	29%
Feb 07, 2021	87	Pittsburgh	W	72-71	54%
Feb 09, 2021	101	@ Boston College	L	75-78	40%
Feb 13, 2021	16	@ Florida St.	L	71-84	14%
Feb 16, 2021	5	Duke	L	76-85	22%
Feb 20, 2021	48	North Carolina St.	L	77-79	43%
Feb 23, 2021	49	Clemson	L	71-73	43%
Feb 27, 2021	56	@ Virginia Tech	L	67-75	25%
Mar 02, 2021	87	@ Pittsburgh	L	69-74	35%
Mar 05, 2021	63	Georgia Tech	L	75-77	46%
Projected Record						11 - 14	6 - 14

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st														0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0			0.5	1st
2nd													0.0	0.1	0.3	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0				0.8	2nd
3rd												0.0	0.2	0.4	0.4	0.2	0.0						1.3	3rd
4th											0.0	0.2	0.6	0.6	0.2	0.0							1.6	4th
5th										0.0	0.2	0.7	1.0	0.3	0.0								2.3	5th
6th										0.1	0.8	1.3	0.7	0.1									3.0	6th
7th									0.0	0.9	1.9	0.9	0.1	0.0	0.0								3.8	7th
8th								0.0	0.6	2.1	1.7	0.3	0.0										4.8	8th
9th							0.0	0.5	2.3	2.6	0.6	0.0											6.1	9th
10th					0.0	0.0	0.4	2.3	3.6	1.2	0.1												7.6	10th
11th					0.0	0.3	2.4	4.2	2.0	0.2													9.2	11th
12th				0.0	0.4	2.6	4.6	2.9	0.4	0.0													10.8	12th
13th			0.0	0.6	2.9	5.1	3.3	0.8	0.1														12.7	13th
14th		0.2	1.6	4.2	5.7	3.6	0.9	0.1															16.2	14th
15th	1.3	3.9	5.8	5.0	2.5	0.7	0.1	0.0															19.3	15th

Total	1.3	4.1	7.4	9.8	11.4	12.3	11.8	10.7	9.0	7.0	5.3	3.5	2.6	1.6	1.0	0.6	0.2	0.2	0.0	0.0			Total

Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0
19-1	100.0%	0.0		0.0
18-2	57.9%	0.0		0.0
17-3	91.0%	0.1		0.1	0.0	0.0
16-4	40.4%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0
15-5	26.0%	0.2		0.0	0.1	0.1
14-6	6.0%	0.1		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0
13-7	0.7%	0.0			0.0	0.0	0.0
12-8	0.0%
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total	0.5%	0.5		0.2	0.1	0.1	0.0		0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1	0.0%							0.0	0.0
18-2	0.0%							0.0	0.0	0.0
17-3	0.2%		100.0%	17.9%	82.1%	2.8		0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0															100.0%
16-4	0.2%		100.0%	6.9%	93.1%	4.1			0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0												100.0%
15-5	0.6%		100.0%	9.5%	90.5%	5.4		0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0	0.0										100.0%
14-6	1.0%		99.2%	8.9%	90.3%	6.8			0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.2	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0					0.0		99.1%
13-7	1.6%		93.4%	4.9%	88.5%	7.9				0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.4	0.2	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0				0.1		93.0%
12-8	2.6%		79.8%	2.3%	77.6%	9.2					0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.4	0.5	0.4	0.4	0.2	0.0				0.5		79.4%
11-9	3.5%		59.7%	1.6%	58.1%	10.1						0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.4	0.5	0.5	0.4	0.0				1.4		59.1%
10-10	5.3%		27.2%	0.8%	26.4%	11.0						0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.3	0.4	0.5	0.1	0.0			3.9		26.6%
9-11	7.0%		6.7%	0.5%	6.2%	11.6								0.0	0.0	0.0	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0		6.5		6.3%
8-12	9.0%		0.6%	0.1%	0.5%	12.5												0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0			9.0		0.5%
7-13	10.7%																							10.7
6-14	11.8%		0.1%	0.1%		14.0															0.0			11.8
5-15	12.3%																							12.3
4-16	11.4%																							11.4
3-17	9.8%																							9.8
2-18	7.4%																							7.4
1-19	4.1%																							4.1
0-20	1.3%																							1.3

Total	100%		9.7%	0.5%	9.2%	8.9		0.0	0.1	0.2	0.3	0.4	0.6	1.0	1.3	1.3	1.4	1.4	1.3	0.2	0.0	0.0		90.3		9.3%